I advised Ken Cole on July 24 that he, Ehrlichman, and 000673 1) Kalmbach met with John Connally and will help him raise 1,000, thereby raising Kalmbach's quota to 11,000. Tom Watson will help Kalmbach. 2) Kalmbach hand delivered the Tom Jones, President of Northrop, letter to me on August 9. The request for the President to address the Los Angeles World Affairs Council has been sent to Parker. A response for your signature is attached at Tab A. G→K. 8/14 Recommendation: That Kalmbach's request that Jones stay on the Times- by Haldeman.nt want to expires any Kalmbach reports that the "mysterious Mr. Finch" has asked to see him this weekend in California. Kalmbach expects the subject to be money but will decline any request for assistance. 000579 - 2 4) Magruder and Malek submitted to Clark MacGregor the budget decision memorandum attached at Tab B. No decision had been reached by MacGregor by August 11. A full budget committee meeting will probably be held next week. You may want to review the entire memorandum and discuss it with the Ehrlichman Political Group. The basic dispute concerns a cut in the advertising budget to increase the field operation and still stay within the Stans imposed 40,000 overall limit on the campaign. In addition to field expenses, Magruder and Malek cite several campaign areas where costs have exceeded budget projections. The most substantial items are direct mail (1,000); surrogate advance office (500); and voter bloc advertising (200). Magruder and Malek have included a 90 increase attributable to you (polling/ORC-40 and Chapin/Walker "Presidential appearance fund" - 50) to bolster their argument to MacGregor. Advertising gets cut the most. The campaign spending legislation permits 14,000 in media expenditures, the original budget provided for 12,100, and if the campaign budget stays at 40,000, the advertising budget would be 6,200. On a related budget matter, MacGregor has agreed to permit modest (300) joint advertising by local committees so that local Republican candidates can use the President's name in their advertisements. This authorization is required by the campaign spending legislation. Len Garment You have a copy of the Len Garment/Paul Weaver proposal to 000580 1) The John Rollins/Tom Evans fundraising project for Senators, Governors, and Congressmen has been dropped. 2) The updated Dent analyses of Kansas and Iowa indicate the President retains his strength and should carry both states in the election. Dent's analysis of Missouri indicates the President should carry the state by an appreciable margin in light of the Eagleton affair. In Hawaii, the President is getting stronger though Dent does not yet predict a victory (copies of the analyses are attached at Tab C). Tom Benham ORC prepares an electoral vote projection system on their computer each election. The system Benham will establish fat no cost) for 1972 is described in the memorandum attached at Tab D. Basically, the system relies on all available polling data (which I help him obtain), past voting behavior, and Benham's "judgment". Bob Ellsworth Line You talked with Taft Schreiber about the importance of 000581 Colson confirms / John Connally Magruder met with John Connally for 2 1/2 hours with There will be a direct mailing on Monday, August 14 if I should talk to pay Committee for the Re-Election of the President (a) Peter Dailey requests an opportunity to present the bulk of the "finished" newspaper, radio, and TV ads and commercials for the campaign. This presentation would also cover the November Group's "media plan" based OK on several possible budget decisions. Dailey will undoubtedly August 15 the President is tentatively scheduled to meet "pestry have to be at a 0005824 |