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Mr. OLSEN. They get it either from the Bureau of the Census, or the Department of Agriculture. They probably get it from both organizations. These data also help supply an indication of the purchasing power of the farmers.
Mr. RANKIN. Mr. Olsen, that is all very interesting. We are all agreed on that proposition.
The CHAIRMAN. Absolutely. Mr. RANKIN. I do not see any necessity of taking up the time of the committee in going over all of that matter on which we are all agreed. We are entirely agreed on that. • Now, as I understand, you come before the committee to talk about the time that this census should be taken. If you have any light to shed on that we would be glad to have it.
Mr. WHITE. If I may, at this point, I would like to ask the gentleman a question.
The CHAIRMAN. Yes; Mr. White. Mr. WHITE. To what extent, if any, and how far are you dependent for the information that you may be able to gather from the State censuses?
Mr. OLSEN. The State census is used to a very good purpose when that census is accurate, and particularly when it comes between the decennial years. The State census then is valuable and especially if it is adequately taken. There is no question about that. Mr. WHITE. Then, you are able to use that information?
Mr. OLSEN. Yes; I will cut short my discussion of this subject. I dwelt upon it because there seemed to be some feeling upon the part of some of the members of the committee that the agricultural census was not as important as some of the other censuses.
The CHAIRMAN. No; there was no reference to that, I think. We simply had a discussion here in order to bring out the information that the members desired. • Mr. OLSEN. I thought that there was some discussion to that effect.
The CHAIRMAN. No. We referred to the fact that the decennial census was required by the Constitution, and that the manufacturing census was required by an act of Congress, by law. · Mr. RANKIN. What is the attitude of your department with regard to the necessity for a census of distribution for agriculture? Mr. OLSEN. We would be very strong for it.
I think that it would be exceedingly valuable. It would be as valuable for agriculture as for the industries.
Mr. RANKIN. You are advocating the taking of an agricultural census on the 1st of November; is that your attitude, Mr. Olsen?
Mr. OLSEN. November 30, or December 1. December 1 would be the better date.
Mr. RANKIN. I see you have a chart here. I have been looking over that chart and I notice that you have a chart here showing the unharvested crops in the field during those various months.
Mr. OLSEN. Yes.
Mr. RANKIN. Now, you do not except November and December do you? * Mr. OLSEN. I have here a table (Table 1) which shows what proportion of each crop is usually harvested each month. Two factors tend to modify these percentages in any given year. In some years harvests come earlier or later than normal. Also, if the crop is larger than usual in its northern section and smaller than usual in its
southern section, or vice versa, the result is to modify the percentage of the total crop harvested in a particular month. It is not likely, however, that such changes from normal are often so marked as materially to alter the averages here given. You will observe that the important crops are usually harvested by the end of the year.
Table I.—Percentage of crops of United States harvested monthly
The Chairman. Is that chart published by the Department of Agriculture, or in a separate publication? How did you get that before? Is it published?
Mr. Olsen. I have here a copy of the Monthly Crop Reporter, which contains it.
The Chairman. It is rather difficult to put a chart of that character in the record, and I thought if we could obtain it somewhere else that would save publishing it. If it is published in the Crop Reporter we might save that amount of printing, and perhaps it would be as intelligible as if we printed it in the record here.
Mr. Olsen. I think that this will answer the questions with reference to December.
There are some questions that have been raised as to the harvesting dates of various crops. We have in this table the months when the crops are harvested.
The CHAIRMAN. In regard to that, have you taken into consideration the opinion of the Census Bureau, or ascertained what their idea is as to the taking of this census, in regard to the date? Have you consulted them with regard to the time of the taking of the census, or are you simply expressing your own ideas about such a date?
Mr. OLSEN. I am addressing myself to the one specific point of the date when you can get an adequate census. I think that the crops are sufficiently harvested by December 1.
This other question you raise I will be very glad to consider a little bit later on.
The CHAIRMAN. In connection with Mr. Jacobstein's question of the expense, if the agricultural and the population census could be taken the same date you would certainly have less expense. That would lessen the expense to a very large degree, if we could take the agricultural census and the population census at the same time, and the committee would like to have some information in regard to that. Of course, we can go on and spend any amount of money in getting every detail that can be thought of by anybody in the United States; even take a census of the beehives, if it seemed necessary. But, it seems to me that we should keep this expense down. Mr. RANKIN. Have we not a census of the beehives? The CHAIRMAN. I hope so. I hope they have it in my district. Mr. RANKIN. We have the greatest apiary in the world in my district. I want to ask you—if you will pardon me, I do not want your corn and wheat and tobacco growers to think that I am trying to monopolize the time of the committee, or am interested only in one crop—but I am talking about the part of this census that I think I know the most about. I see that you have the cotton, for instance, shows there from January to April, there are four-tenths of 1 per cent harvested. Mr. OLSEN. Yes.
Mr. RANKIN. All right. In June, the harvest is none; in July, 1.4 per cent; in August, 11.5 per cent; September, 31.6 per cent; October, 34.4 per cent; November, 16 per cent; and December, 4.7 per cent. That makes 105 per cent, when you add that up?
Mr. OLSEN. No; that is four-tenths of 1 per cent; but you see here (indicating on chart].
Mr. RANKIN. Here is what I want to ask you. You show simply the percentage of cotton harvested in November and December. Is that cotton picked during that month? Is that what it means; is that what you mean by that? Or is that the amount of cotton ginned?
Mr. OLSEN. We mean the picking of it. That is not the amount ginned. That is the amount picked.
Mr. RANKIN. How much of it is ginned in December that is picked in December?
Mr. OLSEN. Well, you are asking how much is picked in November; and how much is ginned in the month of November?
Mr. RANKIN. Yes.
Mr. OLSEN. I could not say that offhand. I think that I can answer what you have in mind, if you will give me just a second.
This [indicating on chart] represents the usual situation. Now, you will have variations in situations dependent upon the size of the crop, or the earliness of the crop, or the lateness of the crop; that is very true.
Remember that this is an indication of the harvesting of the cotton crop, on the average.
Then we have got the ginnings; they give the yield most accurately. That takes care of the production.
Mr. Rankin. I think that I can ask questions and show what I wantjto know better than you can forestall me.
Mr. Olsen. All right.
Mr. Rankin. The 1st of November you have in the field, a year like this, 2,000,000 bales of cotton. Would you not have about that?
Mr. Olsen. The 1st of November?
Mr. Rankin. Yes; 2,000,000 bales.
Mr. Olsen. That is on a basis of 16,000,000.
Mr. Rankin. An average year since the war.
Mr. Olsen. Yes.
Mr. Rankin. You would have about 2,000,000 bales of cotton. Now, you show that they have gathered 43 per cent of the corn in November and December; is that right?
Mr. Olsen. That is right.
Mr. Lozier. A total of 54.2 per cent?
Mr. Rankin. That is right, is it not, in November, that you gathered 43.3 per cent?
Mr. Olsen. Yes, sir.
Mr. Rankin. All right. In December you gather approximately 11 per cent of the corn, which would be about 3,000,000,000 bushels of the com made in the United States?
Mr. Olsen. That is good-sized crop.
Mr. Rankin. That is when we make a good crop.
Mr. Olsen. That is a real good crop.
Mr. Rankin. So then you have 300,000,000 bushels of corn still in the field ungathered and unsalable at any time during November?
Mr. Olsen. This [indicating on chart] is December 1. That would be in between.
Mr. Rankin. Only about 20 per cent of the crop is marketed.
Mr. Olsen. That is about right.
Mr. Rankin. All right. You have half of the crop of corn to be marketed unaccounted for.
Mr. Olsen. That all depends on whether or not the harvest of corn is early or late.
Mr. Rankin. I am taking your average year, your chart; your figures. According to your figures you have half of the corn in the field.
Mr. Olsen. You mean have half of the corn to be marketed; we have an amount equivalent to that, possibly.
Mr. Rankin. Do you not think that the farmer raising that corn would be entitled to a full census of the amount of corn produced?
Mr. Olsen. But, the point is that they have harvested the bulk of their corn and have a very good idea as to how the yield is going to run, and they will be able to give a much better estimate than they can four months later. They can give a better estimate of the yield than they could later.
Mr. Rankin. You think then that they will forget; that they will forget between November and April the amount of their production? Do you not think that they would be able to make their estimates more accurately than the department would be able to, guessing at it in November?
Mr. Olsen. This census would be taken in December.
Mr. Rankin. I do not understand you.
Mr. Olsen. When you go to the individual farmer and he has harvested most of his crop, he has a very good basis for giving you the balance that is on the farm.
Mr. Rankin. Now, do you not know, as a matter of fact, in the months that you indicate there, that in the month of December, the cotton farmers and the corn farmers are all very, very, busy in the field gathering their crops, and that is the most inopportune time to take a census?
Mr. Olsen. I would answer that by saying that I think you will find April 1 they are just as busy, because
The Chairman. Are not all of the crops in on April 1?
Mr. Olsen. This is a harvesting not a planting chart.
The Chairman. I say "in," gathered, using "in" for gathering.
Mr. Olsen. Yes.
The Chairman. That is the sense in which I use "in."
Mr. Rankin. As a matter of fact, the wheat growers have planted their wheat before the 1st of April, have they not?
Mr. Olsen. That would depend upon the season. In certain parts of the country they are through probably, while in other parts they are not.
Mr. Rankin. Nearly all of the crops that you have indicated on that chart would be planted by the 1st of April, except possibly cotton?
Mr. Olsen. And, corn in the northern part of the country would not be planted.
Mr. Rankin. You do not mean to say that the farmers have not finished sowing wheat by that time?
Mr. Olsen. In some sections you will have the wheat sowed.
Mr. Rankin. The corn?
Mr. Olsen. You will have corn in in other sections, and flax, etc.
Mr. Thurston. Mr. Chairman, could I interrupt?
The Chairman. Yes.
Mr. Thurston. What is the proportion of fall wheat, and what is the proportion of spring wheat?
Mr. Olsen. On the average about 40,000,000 acres of fall sown wheat and about 20,000,000 acres of spring wheat.
So, it is fully two-thirds fall-sown wheat.
Mr. Thurston. Of course, the planting of that wheat would be completed by April.
Mr. Lozier. Do you mean to say that all of the corn crop is ogathered by December :,l'.' tfes.
have not made any provision or given any rn op being gathered after January 1?
lis, as explained, a chart or a table showing the jsting of crops. As I explained, you will have |e will be some harvested after January 1, but |ild show the condition.