Never Saw It Coming: Cultural Challenges to Envisioning the WorstUniversity of Chicago Press, 15 Sep 2008 - 336 halaman People—especially Americans—are by and large optimists. They're much better at imagining best-case scenarios (I could win the lottery!) than worst-case scenarios (A hurricane could destroy my neighborhood!). This is true not just of their approach to imagining the future, but of their memories as well: people are better able to describe the best moments of their lives than they are the worst. “In Never Saw It Coming, Karen Cerulo argues that in American society there is a ‘positive symmetry,’ a tendency to focus on and exaggerate the best, the winner, the most optimistic outcome and outlook. Thus, the conceptions of the worst are underdeveloped and elided. Naturally, as she masterfully outlines, there are dramatic consequences to this characterological inability to imagine and prepare for the worst, as the failure to heed memos leading up to both the 9/11 and NASA Challenger disasters, for instance, so painfully reminded us.”--Robin Wagner-Pacifici, Swarthmore College “Katrina, 9/11, and the War in Iraq—all demonstrate the costliness of failing to anticipate worst-case scenarios. Never Saw It Coming explains why it is so hard to do so: adaptive behavior hard-wired into human cognition is complemented and reinforced by cultural practices, which are in turn institutionalized in the rules and structures of formal organizations. But Karen Cerulo doesn’t just diagnose the problem; she uses case studies of settings in which people effectively anticipate and deal with potential disaster to describe structural solutions to the chronic dilemmas she describes so well. Never Saw It Coming is a powerful contribution to the emerging fields of cognitive and moral sociology.”--Paul DiMaggio, Princeton University |
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... disease? More surgery ... more medicine? Would a successful treatment emerge? Would that treatment be worse than the disease? Or would the doctors remain unable to tell me what was wrong? Which of these options would be the worst ...
... or sexual disease . According to psychologist David Strahley , parents — yes , even the best of parents — fall prey to a type of halo effect , identifying with their children to such an extent that they can see 26 CHAPTER TWO.
... Disease , disorders , or criminal violence can strike a child at any time . Like it or not , parents must acknowledge the potential for catastrophe . Yet surveys and polls repeatedly show that parents are far from prepared . Indeed , in ...
... diseases, including abnormally high fevers, AIDS/HIV, cerebral palsy, contagious disease and inoculations, cystic fibrosis, frostbite, heart irregularities, household safety, poison control, SIDS, spina bifida, and much, much more. Such ...
... disease is a grim possibility. Yet, despite the worst-case scenarios involved in one's entry to the sexual arena, research shows that disasters and catastrophes are typically the furthest things from participants' minds. Two-thirds of ...
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1 | |
17 | |
3 Practicing Positive Asymmetry | 72 |
4 Positive Asymmetry and the Subjective Side of Scientific Measurement | 122 |
5 Being Labeled the Worst Real in Its Consequences? | 139 |
6 Exceptions to the Rule | 164 |
7 Emancipating Structures and Cognitive Styles | 193 |
8 Can Symmetrical Vision Be Achieved? | 233 |
Acknowledgments | 344 |
1 Whats the Worst That Could Happen? | 1 |
2 The Breadth and Scope of Positive Asymmetry | 17 |
3 Practicing Positive Asymmetry | 72 |
4 Positive Asymmetry and the Subjective Side of Scientific Measurement | 122 |
5 Being Labeled the Worst Real in Its Consequences? | 139 |
6 Exceptions to the Rule | 164 |
7 Emancipating Structures and Cognitive Styles | 193 |
Notes | 245 |
References | 279 |
Index | 315 |
Contents | 342 |
8 Can Symmetrical Vision Be Achieved? | 233 |
Notes | 245 |
References | 279 |
Index | 315 |
Edisi yang lain - Lihat semua
Never Saw It Coming: Cultural Challenges to Envisioning the Worst Karen A. Cerulo Pratinjau terbatas - 2008 |
Never Saw It Coming: Cultural Challenges to Envisioning the Worst Karen A. Cerulo Pratinjau tidak tersedia - 2006 |
Never Saw It Coming: Cultural Challenges to Envisioning the Worst Karen A. Cerulo Pratinjau tidak tersedia - 2006 |